0617 HEADLINES

	原帖由 wenjun 于 2005-6-17 22:29 发表 先生，天书！！！ 实在太多无法翻译, 不好意思. 如果你要看的懂英文, 我提供的这些都有很好的分析, 无论是市场心理, 基本面或者技术面, 都可以获得不少的有益资讯, 对外汇交易的策略制定有一定的帮助, 并且可以跟上主流的市场心理.

	AP Current Account Trade Deficit at New High Friday June 17, 10:47 am ET By Martin Crutsinger, AP Economics Writer   Current Account Trade Deficit Hits All-Time High of $195.1B As U.S. Sinks Deeper Into Debt WASHINGTON (AP) -- The deficit in the broadest measure of international trade rose to an all-time high of $195.1 billion from January through March of this year as the country sank deeper into debt to Japan, China and other nations. The Commerce Department reported Friday that the deficit in the current account rose by 3.6 percent from the previous quarterly record, an imbalance of $188.4 billion in the final three months of 2004. The current account deficit has risen to record heights in recent years as America's demand for foreign goods and servicers has soared, raising worries about the country's ability to continue financing a trade deficit at such heights. The current account deficit for all of 2004 hit a record $668.1 billion, up a sharp 28.6 percent from the previous record of $519.7 billion in 2003. The current account is the broadest measure of foreign trade because it covers not only trade in goods and services but also foreign aid and investment flows between nations. The U.S. deficit must be finananced by foreigners agreeing to hold more in dollar-denominated investments, something that so far they have been quite happy to do as they sell Americans more and more foreign cars, television sets and other consumer products. However, economists worry that at some point foreigners may lose their enthusiasm for dollar-denominated investments and begin dumping their holdings in U.S. stocks and bonds. Such a development could cause interest rates in the United States to soar and push the value of the dollar and stocks down sharply. If the reaction was severe enough, it could push the country into a recession. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has called the current account levels unsustainable but he also has said that market forces should be able to deal with the problem in a way that will not seriously disrupt the U.S. economy. The rise in the current account deficit for the first quarter meant that the deficit now represents 6.4 percent of the total U.S. economy, also a record as a percentage of the gross domestic economy. The deterioration in the first quarter deficit reflected an increase of $4.15 billion in the deficit in goods which rose to $186.3 billion. This was offset slighlty by an increase of $1.62 billion in the surplus in services, which rose to $14.57 billion in the first quarter. The surplus on investment flows increased by $541 million to $3.78 billion but the deficit in unilateral transfers, a category that includes foreign aid, increased by $4.70 billion to $27.07 billion.

	老虎，这些咨询都是从哪弄来的

	是路透社的新闻连接, (不过俺是要花钱的. [ 本帖最后由 tigerbite 于 2005-6-17 23:21 编辑 ]

	原帖由 tigerbite 于 2005-6-17 23:20 发表 是路透社的新闻连接(也要美联社的), (不过俺是要花钱的. 好象YAHOO上也可以找到的. [ 本帖最后由 tigerbite 于 2005-6-17 23:32 编辑 ]

	赫赫，谢谢老虎分享资料

	Reuters Dollar soft on record current account gap Friday June 17, 9:42 am ET By Jamie McGeever NEW YORK (Reuters) - The dollar was weaker on Friday, kept under selling pressure by data showing that the U.S. current account deficit widened to a record $195.1 billion in the first quarter. The deficit, running at a record 6.4 percent of gross domestic product, was wider than the $190 billion forecast by economists. The deficit in the fourth quarter of last year was also revised to a slightly wider $188.36 billion. The data underscore the extent to which the U.S. needs to attract large inflows of foreign capital to fund the deficit and are a reminder to traders of the dollar's structural weaknesses. "The dollar's recent rally has been the direct result of euro weakness caused by European political and economic problems while for the past two months the market appeared to forget the persistent deficit woes of the United States," wrote Boris Schlossberg, chief fundamental strategist at Forex Capital Markets in New York, in a note to clients. "Today's larger than expected gap in the current account may reawaken those concerns once more and trigger a retrace in greenback's recent rally," he said. Early on Friday, the euro recovered to a one-week high of $1.2202 (EUR=), up more than 0.6 percent on the day and more than a cent above a 9-month low hit on Wednesday. But many traders still consider the euro, which has lost around 10 percent versus the dollar since January, an attractive sell on any rallies, so the currency is hovering at $1.2175, up on the day but little changed from just before the current account data were released. "The deficit's a little wider than expected but I don't think this is a dynamic that's driving the dollar any more. Concerns about the deficits are fading. Markets are no longer focused on the dollar as a funding currency," said Lara Rhame, currency strategist at CSFB in New York. She said the euro could continue to correct back up as high as $1.2350 yet still be in broader bearish territory. The dollar was a touch weaker against the yen at 108.80 yen (JPY=) and 0.3 percent down against the Swissfranc at 1.2678 francs (CHF=). Sterling was rose slightly at $1.8250 (GBP=). Analysts said the details of the balance of payments data, such as another foreign direct investment (FDI) outflow from the U.S. and a decline in net recorded financial inflows, weren't particularly dollar-positive either. "This is a continuation of a dollar-negative trend and it tells you that relative to core flows, the dollar is growing overvalued and will correct likely in the next six months," said Greg Anderson, senior currency strategist at ABN Amro in Chicago. The dollar has gained more than 8 percent against the euro over the last two months as expectations of higher U.S. interest rates contrasted with the outlook for low interest rates and political turmoil in the euro zone. European Union leaders are pitching into a bruising battle over the bloc's long-term future. They decided on Thursday to allow more time to ratify the new EU constitution -- rejected by French and Dutch voters and triggering the euro's decline. Later Friday, the University of Michigan releases its preliminary June consumer sentiment index at 9:45 a.m. EDT (1345 GMT), forecast to show a rise to 89.0 from 86.9 in May. Despite a recent mixed bag of U.S. economic data, the dollar has been supported this month by a steady chorus of Fed officials suggesting that U.S. interest rates still have room to rise, even after a series of eight straight rate increases.

	很好的文章，以前还真没有注意，呵呵，谢谢您的分享。

	路透的中文资讯做的实在是没什么含金量。 这是路透3000上的？

	谢谢版主，保存了，慢慢看