0319欧元短线

	虎哥认为基本面只是短时间造成的欧元下跌， 欧元应该经整理后继续上攻吗

	老师，欧元这一跌是不是表示一路看向1.2170一带了，而且很有可能会下破       我也很想问此问题，请虎版指教！谢谢！

	今天我看了几位平时测得都比较准的高手汇评都错了，所以虎版偶然错一次，实在也没有什么大不了。我关心的是现在是否有亡羊补牢的机会，如果有，请虎版不吝指教！谢谢！

	也是最凶狠的！！1.2160的支撑，估计能起点作用。虎版您看呢？？

	[摘录透社] ============================================================ Reuters UPDATE - Dlr surges on rumor, denied, of bin Laden capture Friday March 19, 12:03 pm ET (Updates with traders' comments on bin Laden capture rumor) NEW YORK, March 19 (Reuters) - The dollar surged on Friday against the euro and the safe-haven Swiss franc on stop-loss selling in European currencies in a volatile market sensitive to geopolitical developments, traders said. One reason traders cited for the flurry of aggressive dollar buying was a rumor, since denied by the Pentagon and a Pakistani security official, that al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden had been caught in fighting in Pakistan. "I think ... we have a rumor going around the trading floor about bin Laden. I don't know what the rumor is," and it was not confirmed, said Larry Brickman, currency strategist with Banc of America Securities (News - Websites) in New York. Should the capture of a leading al Qaeda figure occur, that would likely prove positive for the dollar, traders said. The dollar climbed swiftly more than 1 percent against the Swiss franc (CHF) to session highs above 1.2740 francs. The euro (EUR=) slipped to session lows around $1.2259 and down about 1 percent from around $1.2335 in a burst of stop-loss order selling. "We had euro stops wiped out below $1.2320," said John McCarthy, director for foreign exchange at ING Capital Markets. Earlier on Friday a bomb threat to Washington DC schools briefly boosted the euro against the dollar. Traders were also on alert for any indication of a resolution to the standoff in Pakistan, reportedly involving a senior al Qaeda figure. ============================================================

	下周初的行情取决于今天收盘的价格. 如果收高的话,下周仍有上行的可能,如果大阴线垂底无下影,那么下周仍旧是下跌的趋势.

	所以現在漲跌言之過早，要看收盤價決定。但是目前繼續跌的可能較大。 是不是這樣呢？ 虎版那今日要收幾奌以上才是算收高呢？ [ Last edited by 須菩提 on 2004-3-20 at 01:21 AM ]

	虎版 如果收高，‘高’指什么价位？是跟今天开盘相比吗？

	这两周的欧元调整真是走出出人意料的行情, 形态非常的复杂, 趋势非常的模糊, 两百点的空间上上下下已经反复上落超过7次之多! 到现在仍然没有确定方向. 但是总的来讲, 1.19/1.18的目标不变.

	Originally posted by 大象 at 2004-3-20 01:21 AM: 虎版 如果收高，‘高’指什么价位？是跟今天开盘相比吗？ 收高要看到今天这条大阴线的至少一半的位置收盘,为高. 大约在1.2330/40附近.